I'm Peter Wade. Formerly of The @Daily

I also manage SNY's Tumblr

Here I blog about news, politics, media & pop culture.

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Posts tagged "Nate Silver"
Nate Silver was right. It’s Argo: #Oscars2013 #BestPicture #NateSilverAlwaysWins
@Slate
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Nate Silver's Oscar Predictions →
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Nate Silver, Politico reporter spar on Twitter Read: TPM

Nate Silver, Politico reporter spar on Twitter

Read: TPM

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Between the pundits and the partisans, you’re dealing with a lot of very delusional people. And sports provides for much more frequent reality checks,” he wrote. “If you were touting how awesome Notre Dame was, for example, you got very much slapped back into reality last night. In politics, you can go on being delusional for years at a time.
Nate Silver participated in a Reddit “Ask Me Anything” chat today. - POLITICO
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Nate Silver: Person of the Year - Out Magazine

Nate Silver: Person of the Year - Out Magazine

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Once again, Nate Silver nailed it.
President Obama on the online turkey pardon vote - @HuffPostPol
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BuzzFeed: Meet Drunk Nate Silver

BuzzFeed: Meet Drunk Nate Silver

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election: THE POLL DANCE: Nate Silver on Predicting Elections Nate Silver turned a love of baseball into a breakout career in forecasting player performance, inventing his own statistical system for gaming the game. Then he turned his methodical eye on politics, shocking the media-polling industrial complex by correctly calling 49 of 50 states in the 2008 presidential election. He’s now the house polling analyst for the New York Times, bringing a rigorous and gnomic level of intensity to his Five Thirty Eight blog. And his well-timed new book The Signal and the Noise comes out this week, attempting to unspool the science and art of trying and/or failing to predict the future of most anything. We talked with Silver about how the 2012 race looks so far, how it might all turn out, and how this could be the year when all the predictions (including his own) go very, very wrong. Read More

election:

THE POLL DANCE: Nate Silver on Predicting Elections

Nate Silver turned a love of baseball into a breakout career in forecasting player performance, inventing his own statistical system for gaming the game. Then he turned his methodical eye on politics, shocking the media-polling industrial complex by correctly calling 49 of 50 states in the 2008 presidential election. He’s now the house polling analyst for the New York Times, bringing a rigorous and gnomic level of intensity to his Five Thirty Eight blog. And his well-timed new book The Signal and the Noise comes out this week, attempting to unspool the science and art of trying and/or failing to predict the future of most anything. We talked with Silver about how the 2012 race looks so far, how it might all turn out, and how this could be the year when all the predictions (including his own) go very, very wrong.

Read More

(via sarahlee310)

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(via sportsnetnewyork)

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I Somehow Missed This:

Learned tonight on The Rachel Maddow Show that Nate Silver will be employed by the NYTimes starting in August. 

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I can tell how quickly I’ve become a NYC sellout by how badly I’m rooting for LeBron to come here. OF COURSE he should come here! We’re #1!
fivethirtyeight
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Great people in Boston, but NYC is 5x larger and run 5x as well.

Nate Silver - fivethirtyeight

preach brother preach

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I think we have to seriously consider whether there is some sort of a Bradley Effect in the polling on gay rights issues, although one of the pollsters (PPP, which had a very bad night in NY-23) got it exactly right. As for the model, I think I’ll need to look whether the urban-rural divide is a significant factor in a state in addition to its religiosity: Maine is secular, but rural. At the end of the day, it may have been too much to ask of a state to vote to approve gay marriage in an election where gay marriage itself was the headline issue on the ballot. Although the enthusiasm gap is very probably narrowing, feelings about gay marriage have traditionally been much stronger on the right than the left, and that’s what gets people up off the couch in off-year elections.
Nate Silver on Maine via
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